Cottondale Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Chipley. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 5 and the first fall freeze around November 21, a growing season of about 263 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 21, first November 9
- Median at 32°F
- last March 5, first November 21
- Median at 28°F
- last February 16, first December 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Feb 27 |
| 32°F | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 7 |
| 28°F | Mar 14 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 18 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | Dec 31 |
| 20°F | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Feb 2 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 2 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Feb 2 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 29 |
| 32°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 |
| 28°F | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 | Dec 26 | Jan 3 | Jan 15 |
| 24°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 23 | Feb 2 |
| 20°F | Dec 12 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 25 | Feb 1 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 20 | Jan 26 | Jan 31 | Feb 3 | Feb 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 264 | 252 | 246 | 240 | 233 | 229 | 224 | 217 | 210 |
| 32°F | 298 | 285 | 276 | 269 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 244 | 235 |
| 28°F | 336 | 322 | 312 | 303 | 296 | 287 | 280 | 273 | 260 |
| 24°F | 365 | 360 | 347 | 337 | 330 | 323 | 315 | 305 | 291 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 345 | 334 | 323 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 346 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 86% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 49% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 17% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,638
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,662
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,179
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,422
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,760
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,232
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,858
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 441 | 10 | 139 |
| February | 310 | 14 | 172 |
| March | 183 | 48 | 345 |
| April | 60 | 114 | 505 |
| May | 5 | 311 | 770 |
| June | 0 | 468 | 918 |
| July | 0 | 546 | 1,011 |
| August | 0 | 532 | 997 |
| September | 1 | 397 | 846 |
| October | 45 | 171 | 592 |
| November | 216 | 38 | 291 |
| December | 377 | 15 | 177 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.7 km from Cottondale. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00081544 (Chipley). Public domain.