Collier County Frost Dates and Growing Season

NOAA 1991-2020 normals for Everglades City 5 Ne, 23 km from Collier County, elevation 4 ft

Frost and the growing season

NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Everglades City 5 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.

A freeze (32°F or colder) happens in only 21 percent of years at Everglades City 5 Ne, so there is no typical freeze season.

Median at 36°F: last January 30, first January 17
Median at 32°F: last January 24, first January 20

Last freeze in spring

The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.

Threshold	10%	20%	30%	40%	50%	60%	70%	80%	90%
36°F	Feb 27	Feb 18	Feb 8	Feb 2	Jan 30	Jan 24	Jan 18	Jan 10	Jan 3
32°F	Feb 14	Feb 5	Jan 31	Jan 29	Jan 24	Jan 18	Jan 14	Jan 7	Jan 2
28°F	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
24°F	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
20°F	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
16°F	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

First freeze in fall

The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.

Threshold	10%	20%	30%	40%	50%	60%	70%	80%	90%
36°F	Dec 29	Jan 2	Jan 7	Jan 12	Jan 17	Jan 22	Jan 28	Feb 3	Feb 14
32°F	Dec 30	Jan 6	Jan 10	Jan 16	Jan 20	Jan 25	Jan 30	Feb 1	Feb 11
28°F	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
24°F	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
20°F	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
16°F	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

Growing season length

Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.

Threshold	10%	20%	30%	40%	50%	60%	70%	80%	90%
36°F	365	365	365	365	357	348	337	328	312
32°F	365	365	365	365	365	365	365	360	343
28°F	365	365	365	365	365	365	365	365	365
24°F	365	365	365	365	365	365	365	365	365
20°F	365	365	365	365	365	365	365	365	365
16°F	365	365	365	365	365	365	365	365	365

How often it gets that cold

The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.

36°F or colder: 52% of years
32°F or colder: 21% of years
28°F or colder: 3% of years
24°F or colder: 0% of years
20°F or colder: 0% of years
16°F or colder: 0% of years

Degree days

A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.

Heating degree days, base 65°F: 230
Cooling degree days, base 65°F: 4,136
Growing degree days, base 40°F: 13,031
Growing degree days, base 45°F: 11,207
Growing degree days, base 50°F: 9,388
Growing degree days, base 55°F: 7,583
Growing degree days, base 60°F: 5,815

Growing degree days by month, base 50°F

Heating and cooling by month

Month	Heating DD	Cooling DD	Growing DD 50
January	90	94	473
February	45	136	512
March	22	187	629
April	4	284	731
May	0	409	874
June	0	500	950
July	0	580	1,045
August	0	587	1,053
September	0	534	984
October	2	426	890
November	14	236	672
December	53	163	577

What this means

NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.

The station is 23 km from Collier County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.

Sources

NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00092826 (Everglades City 5 Ne). Public domain.