Citra Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Orange Springs 2SSW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 1 and the first fall freeze around December 7, a growing season of about 284 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 15, first November 25
- Median at 32°F
- last March 1, first December 7
- Median at 28°F
- last February 9, first December 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 4 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 20 |
| 32°F | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Jan 29 |
| 28°F | Mar 12 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 9 |
| 24°F | Feb 25 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 19 | Jan 11 | Jan 4 | Dec 26 |
| 20°F | Feb 7 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 28 | Dec 22 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 19 |
| 32°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 9 |
| 28°F | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 19 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Dec 8 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 19 | Jan 27 | Feb 6 |
| 20°F | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 24 | Feb 4 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 286 | 274 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 248 | 241 | 234 | 224 |
| 32°F | 321 | 308 | 300 | 293 | 284 | 276 | 268 | 260 | 250 |
| 28°F | 358 | 341 | 332 | 325 | 316 | 310 | 303 | 293 | 281 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 348 | 341 | 334 | 326 | 312 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 342 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 92% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 63% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 24% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 2% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,167
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,661
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,629
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,834
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,096
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,466
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,979
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 347 | 20 | 199 |
| February | 229 | 21 | 232 |
| March | 131 | 60 | 401 |
| April | 40 | 137 | 548 |
| May | 3 | 309 | 770 |
| June | 0 | 416 | 866 |
| July | 0 | 487 | 952 |
| August | 0 | 491 | 956 |
| September | 0 | 412 | 862 |
| October | 24 | 220 | 662 |
| November | 125 | 60 | 390 |
| December | 269 | 29 | 258 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.7 km from Citra. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00086618 (Orange Springs 2SSW). Public domain.