Chumuckla Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Milton Exp Stn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 15 and the first fall freeze around November 13, a growing season of about 241 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 30, first November 3
- Median at 32°F
- last March 15, first November 13
- Median at 28°F
- last March 1, first November 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 16 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 10 |
| 32°F | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 |
| 28°F | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 4 |
| 24°F | Mar 12 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 15 |
| 20°F | Mar 1 | Feb 17 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 20 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 3 | Dec 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 32°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Dec 2 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 20 |
| 24°F | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 6 | Jan 18 |
| 20°F | Dec 3 | Dec 12 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 22 | Feb 4 |
| 16°F | Dec 14 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 15 | Jan 18 | Jan 25 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 243 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 207 | 203 | 196 |
| 32°F | 269 | 260 | 253 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 217 |
| 28°F | 307 | 293 | 284 | 276 | 270 | 264 | 258 | 251 | 242 |
| 24°F | 345 | 330 | 320 | 311 | 304 | 296 | 288 | 280 | 266 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 355 | 345 | 336 | 330 | 321 | 310 | 299 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 351 | 338 | 331 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 79% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 42% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,029
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,147
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,305
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,589
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,987
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,536
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,248
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 526 | 2 | 94 |
| February | 369 | 5 | 128 |
| March | 229 | 20 | 278 |
| April | 93 | 73 | 433 |
| May | 10 | 235 | 690 |
| June | 0 | 400 | 850 |
| July | 0 | 467 | 932 |
| August | 0 | 456 | 921 |
| September | 1 | 333 | 781 |
| October | 73 | 130 | 525 |
| November | 280 | 22 | 231 |
| December | 449 | 5 | 125 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.1 km from Chumuckla. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00085793 (Milton Exp Stn). Public domain.