Center Hill Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Bushnell 1 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 2 and the first fall freeze around December 5, a growing season of about 281 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 18, first November 22
- Median at 32°F
- last March 2, first December 5
- Median at 28°F
- last February 11, first December 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 23 |
| 32°F | Mar 25 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 | Jan 31 |
| 28°F | Mar 13 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 6 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 18 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 4 | Dec 29 |
| 20°F | Feb 13 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 12 | Jan 9 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 28 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 |
| 32°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 | Dec 27 | Jan 8 |
| 28°F | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 18 | Jan 30 |
| 24°F | Dec 9 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 13 | Jan 21 | Jan 30 | Feb 12 |
| 20°F | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 9 | Jan 15 | Jan 25 | Jan 31 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 282 | 270 | 263 | 256 | 250 | 245 | 239 | 232 | 221 |
| 32°F | 316 | 304 | 296 | 288 | 281 | 274 | 267 | 258 | 248 |
| 28°F | 354 | 340 | 331 | 321 | 313 | 305 | 298 | 288 | 278 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 350 | 341 | 333 | 322 | 305 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 339 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 65% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 26% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 3% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 968
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,666
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,829
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,022
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,261
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,585
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,038
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 293 | 19 | 231 |
| February | 186 | 29 | 278 |
| March | 119 | 59 | 411 |
| April | 31 | 144 | 563 |
| May | 2 | 303 | 766 |
| June | 0 | 417 | 867 |
| July | 0 | 473 | 938 |
| August | 0 | 477 | 942 |
| September | 0 | 407 | 856 |
| October | 16 | 236 | 685 |
| November | 103 | 75 | 425 |
| December | 218 | 29 | 298 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.6 km from Center Hill. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00081163 (Bushnell 1 E). Public domain.