Cape Canaveral Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Titusville 7 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 29 and the first fall freeze around January 16, a growing season of about 353 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 10, first January 8
- Median at 32°F
- last January 29, first January 16
- Median at 28°F
- last January 17, first January 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 11 | Mar 2 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 12 |
| 32°F | Feb 26 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 18 | Jan 10 | Jan 4 |
| 28°F | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 12 | Jan 9 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Dec 17 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 21 | Jan 29 | Feb 9 |
| 32°F | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 16 | Jan 22 | Jan 28 | Feb 5 | Feb 17 |
| 28°F | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 13 | Jan 17 | Jan 25 | Jan 31 | Feb 6 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 358 | 345 | 335 | 329 | 322 | 315 | 308 | 302 | 291 |
| 32°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 353 | 344 | 335 | 328 | 315 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 338 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 92% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 55% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 18% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 4% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 580
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,000
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,547
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,730
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,929
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,173
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,510
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 188 | 37 | 332 |
| February | 127 | 54 | 353 |
| March | 78 | 84 | 473 |
| April | 15 | 165 | 600 |
| May | 0 | 304 | 769 |
| June | 0 | 420 | 870 |
| July | 0 | 485 | 950 |
| August | 0 | 504 | 969 |
| September | 0 | 433 | 884 |
| October | 7 | 306 | 764 |
| November | 43 | 136 | 543 |
| December | 122 | 72 | 423 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.9 km from Cape Canaveral. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00092821 (Titusville 7 E). Public domain.