Bronson Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Usher Twr. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 28 and the first fall freeze around December 2, a growing season of about 279 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 14, first November 19
- Median at 32°F
- last February 28, first December 2
- Median at 28°F
- last February 6, first December 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 7 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
| 32°F | Mar 22 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 |
| 28°F | Mar 6 | Feb 27 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 7 |
| 24°F | Feb 20 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 10 | Jan 4 | Dec 26 |
| 20°F | Feb 16 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Dec 31 | Dec 21 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
| 32°F | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 23 | Jan 4 |
| 28°F | Nov 26 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 17 | Jan 31 |
| 24°F | Dec 8 | Dec 18 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 21 | Jan 31 | Feb 7 |
| 20°F | Dec 15 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 24 | Feb 3 | Feb 14 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 282 | 270 | 263 | 256 | 250 | 244 | 239 | 231 | 222 |
| 32°F | 315 | 304 | 296 | 288 | 279 | 272 | 265 | 257 | 246 |
| 28°F | 355 | 341 | 333 | 326 | 318 | 310 | 302 | 292 | 279 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 349 | 341 | 334 | 325 | 314 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 340 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 92% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 64% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 26% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 3% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,097
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,656
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,694
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,897
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,155
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,506
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,993
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 317 | 15 | 216 |
| February | 208 | 24 | 256 |
| March | 124 | 60 | 407 |
| April | 34 | 137 | 554 |
| May | 2 | 297 | 760 |
| June | 0 | 429 | 879 |
| July | 0 | 487 | 952 |
| August | 0 | 488 | 953 |
| September | 0 | 407 | 856 |
| October | 22 | 225 | 668 |
| November | 131 | 62 | 388 |
| December | 259 | 25 | 266 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.7 km from Bronson. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00089120 (Usher Twr). Public domain.