Bloomingdale Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Plant City. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 30 and the first fall freeze around January 6, a growing season of about 335 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 16, first December 25
- Median at 32°F
- last January 30, first January 6
- Median at 28°F
- last January 20, first January 11
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 17 | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 17 |
| 32°F | Mar 2 | Feb 20 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 |
| 28°F | Feb 10 | Feb 1 | Jan 29 | Jan 24 | Jan 20 | Jan 13 | Jan 8 | Jan 4 | Dec 29 |
| 24°F | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Jan 9 | Jan 6 | Jan 2 | Dec 30 | Dec 20 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 27 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 22 |
| 32°F | Dec 8 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Jan 26 | Feb 5 |
| 28°F | Dec 19 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 23 | Jan 28 | Feb 4 |
| 24°F | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 8 | Jan 10 | Jan 17 | Jan 22 | Jan 27 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 336 | 326 | 317 | 310 | 303 | 296 | 288 | 279 | 269 |
| 32°F | 365 | 362 | 351 | 342 | 335 | 329 | 322 | 312 | 302 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 355 | 344 | 332 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 81% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 40% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 13% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 2% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 436
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,848
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 12,537
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 10,716
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,907
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 7,131
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 5,431
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 150 | 70 | 395 |
| February | 86 | 95 | 431 |
| March | 47 | 160 | 579 |
| April | 8 | 265 | 707 |
| May | 0 | 425 | 890 |
| June | 0 | 522 | 972 |
| July | 0 | 577 | 1,042 |
| August | 0 | 577 | 1,042 |
| September | 0 | 517 | 968 |
| October | 4 | 367 | 828 |
| November | 36 | 168 | 582 |
| December | 104 | 106 | 472 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.3 km from Bloomingdale. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00087205 (Plant City). Public domain.