Bellview Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Pensacola Forest Sherman Nas. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 28 and the first fall freeze around November 29, a growing season of about 277 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 13, first November 15
- Median at 32°F
- last February 28, first November 29
- Median at 28°F
- last February 6, first December 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 |
| 32°F | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Jan 31 |
| 28°F | Mar 9 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 2 |
| 24°F | Feb 23 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 9 | Jan 2 | Dec 25 |
| 20°F | Feb 12 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 5 |
| 32°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 19 | Jan 2 |
| 28°F | Nov 17 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 22 |
| 24°F | Dec 2 | Dec 14 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 24 | Feb 3 |
| 20°F | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 14 | Jan 20 | Jan 29 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 275 | 266 | 258 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 237 | 230 | 222 |
| 32°F | 313 | 301 | 292 | 285 | 277 | 270 | 263 | 256 | 246 |
| 28°F | 351 | 338 | 330 | 322 | 314 | 306 | 297 | 289 | 273 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 356 | 344 | 337 | 330 | 320 | 306 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 353 | 334 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 70% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 29% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 5% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,564
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,489
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,072
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,302
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,619
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,066
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,684
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 419 | 6 | 141 |
| February | 297 | 8 | 171 |
| March | 190 | 31 | 318 |
| April | 62 | 92 | 481 |
| May | 7 | 273 | 732 |
| June | 0 | 436 | 886 |
| July | 0 | 515 | 980 |
| August | 0 | 502 | 967 |
| September | 1 | 392 | 841 |
| October | 41 | 179 | 604 |
| November | 200 | 43 | 309 |
| December | 346 | 13 | 189 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.5 km from Bellview. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003855 (Pensacola Forest Sherman Nas). Public domain.