Atlantic Beach Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jacksonville Beach. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 31 and the first fall freeze around January 10, a growing season of about 345 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 9, first January 1
- Median at 32°F
- last January 31, first January 10
- Median at 28°F
- last January 24, first January 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 10 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 21 | Jan 10 |
| 32°F | Mar 2 | Feb 21 | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Jan 1 |
| 28°F | Feb 16 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 4 | Dec 27 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 18 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 29 |
| 32°F | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 24 | Jan 31 | Feb 14 |
| 28°F | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 22 | Jan 28 | Jan 31 | Feb 9 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 352 | 338 | 332 | 325 | 318 | 309 | 303 | 295 | 284 |
| 32°F | 365 | 365 | 364 | 354 | 345 | 337 | 331 | 317 | 306 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 349 | 334 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 67% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 28% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 5% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 829
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,196
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,496
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 9,684
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 7,903
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,197
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 4,616
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 267 | 21 | 248 |
| February | 177 | 31 | 285 |
| March | 92 | 81 | 457 |
| April | 19 | 176 | 608 |
| May | 1 | 360 | 825 |
| June | 0 | 482 | 932 |
| July | 0 | 556 | 1,021 |
| August | 0 | 552 | 1,017 |
| September | 0 | 472 | 922 |
| October | 8 | 309 | 766 |
| November | 72 | 113 | 492 |
| December | 193 | 43 | 330 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.2 km from Atlantic Beach. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00084366 (Jacksonville Beach). Public domain.