Long Neck Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lewes. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 29 and the first fall freeze around November 14, a growing season of about 231 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 9, first November 3
- Median at 32°F
- last March 29, first November 14
- Median at 28°F
- last March 16, first November 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 |
| 32°F | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
| 28°F | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 24°F | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 |
| 16°F | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 30 | Jan 26 | Jan 18 | Jan 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 9 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 |
| 24°F | Nov 22 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 |
| 20°F | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | Jan 24 |
| 16°F | Dec 21 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 10 | Jan 15 | Jan 20 | Jan 27 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 225 | 219 | 214 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 186 |
| 32°F | 253 | 245 | 240 | 235 | 231 | 228 | 224 | 219 | 213 |
| 28°F | 284 | 273 | 267 | 261 | 256 | 252 | 246 | 240 | 233 |
| 24°F | 310 | 301 | 295 | 289 | 284 | 279 | 273 | 266 | 256 |
| 20°F | 340 | 330 | 322 | 315 | 310 | 306 | 300 | 294 | 286 |
| 16°F | 365 | 361 | 348 | 339 | 334 | 328 | 321 | 313 | 304 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 86% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,823
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,506
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,170
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,711
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,422
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,293
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,320
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 831 | 0 | 19 |
| February | 700 | 0 | 18 |
| March | 581 | 3 | 65 |
| April | 287 | 26 | 221 |
| May | 94 | 103 | 475 |
| June | 7 | 294 | 736 |
| July | 0 | 439 | 904 |
| August | 0 | 383 | 848 |
| September | 13 | 213 | 649 |
| October | 170 | 42 | 343 |
| November | 441 | 4 | 113 |
| December | 699 | 0 | 32 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.3 km from Long Neck. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00075320 (Lewes). Public domain.