Derby Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ansonia 1 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 25 and the first fall freeze around October 17, a growing season of about 175 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 25, first October 17
- Median at 28°F
- last April 10, first October 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 32°F | May 10 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | Apr 27 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
| 24°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
| 20°F | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
| 16°F | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 164 | 159 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 138 | 132 |
| 32°F | 197 | 189 | 182 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 159 | 153 |
| 28°F | 220 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 196 | 192 | 186 | 179 |
| 24°F | 247 | 240 | 234 | 229 | 225 | 222 | 217 | 211 | 205 |
| 20°F | 270 | 262 | 258 | 253 | 249 | 244 | 240 | 236 | 228 |
| 16°F | 292 | 284 | 278 | 274 | 269 | 265 | 260 | 255 | 247 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,070
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 686
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,974
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,827
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,823
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,968
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,259
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,172 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,022 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 865 | 0 | 6 |
| April | 516 | 1 | 59 |
| May | 232 | 18 | 265 |
| June | 39 | 116 | 528 |
| July | 3 | 237 | 699 |
| August | 6 | 224 | 683 |
| September | 107 | 86 | 430 |
| October | 398 | 3 | 131 |
| November | 696 | 0 | 20 |
| December | 1,015 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.1 km from Derby. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00060128 (Ansonia 1 Ne). Public domain.