Bantam Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Bakersville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 8 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 151 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first September 27
- Median at 32°F
- last May 8, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 26, first October 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 14 | May 10 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 28°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 11 |
| 24°F | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
| 20°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
| 16°F | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 24°F | Oct 14 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
| 20°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 16°F | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 148 | 142 | 137 | 134 | 130 | 126 | 122 | 118 | 112 |
| 32°F | 171 | 164 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 138 | 132 |
| 28°F | 199 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 162 | 155 |
| 24°F | 226 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 182 |
| 20°F | 251 | 244 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 224 | 220 | 215 | 208 |
| 16°F | 274 | 265 | 259 | 255 | 250 | 246 | 242 | 236 | 229 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,841
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 431
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,338
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,269
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,345
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,558
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 914
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,269 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,086 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 952 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 579 | 3 | 56 |
| May | 281 | 19 | 226 |
| June | 78 | 79 | 452 |
| July | 13 | 167 | 618 |
| August | 29 | 123 | 560 |
| September | 168 | 38 | 326 |
| October | 502 | 3 | 84 |
| November | 783 | 0 | 13 |
| December | 1,101 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 22.9 km from Bantam. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00060227 (Bakersville). Public domain.