Saguache County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Saguache. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 16 and the first fall freeze around September 28, a growing season of about 135 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 3, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 16, first September 28
- Median at 28°F
- last May 4, first October 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 18 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 5 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 | May 20 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 14 | May 11 | May 9 | May 5 |
| 28°F | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 24°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 27 |
| 16°F | Apr 18 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 |
| 32°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
| 28°F | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 |
| 24°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 20°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 16°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 125 | 118 | 114 | 110 | 107 | 103 | 100 | 95 | 89 |
| 32°F | 152 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 135 | 131 | 126 | 122 | 115 |
| 28°F | 171 | 166 | 162 | 159 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 138 |
| 24°F | 192 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 174 | 170 | 167 | 162 | 155 |
| 20°F | 216 | 209 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 173 |
| 16°F | 243 | 235 | 230 | 224 | 218 | 214 | 208 | 203 | 194 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,759
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 96
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,435
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,424
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,578
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 900
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 394
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,356 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,084 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 890 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 657 | 0 | 12 |
| May | 397 | 1 | 116 |
| June | 147 | 13 | 318 |
| July | 52 | 49 | 462 |
| August | 69 | 29 | 425 |
| September | 247 | 4 | 218 |
| October | 592 | 0 | 26 |
| November | 926 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,342 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.1 km from Saguache County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00057337 (Saguache). Public domain.