Morgan County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ft Morgan. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 6, a growing season of about 153 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 15, first September 28
- Median at 32°F
- last May 6, first October 6
- Median at 28°F
- last April 27, first October 15
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 29 | May 25 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 19 | May 13 | May 10 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
| 24°F | May 1 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 |
| 20°F | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
| 16°F | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 |
| 32°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 28°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 24°F | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 20°F | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
| 16°F | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 151 | 146 | 142 | 139 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 122 | 115 |
| 32°F | 168 | 163 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 135 |
| 28°F | 188 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 171 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 154 |
| 24°F | 209 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 172 |
| 20°F | 235 | 227 | 221 | 215 | 211 | 205 | 201 | 196 | 188 |
| 16°F | 255 | 247 | 242 | 235 | 231 | 226 | 220 | 213 | 206 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,321
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 817
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,094
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,959
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,972
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,123
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,404
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,173 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 978 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 761 | 0 | 22 |
| April | 508 | 1 | 87 |
| May | 250 | 28 | 278 |
| June | 40 | 153 | 563 |
| July | 3 | 312 | 773 |
| August | 11 | 241 | 694 |
| September | 116 | 80 | 424 |
| October | 469 | 3 | 121 |
| November | 846 | 0 | 9 |
| December | 1,164 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 5.1 km from Morgan County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00053038 (Ft Morgan). Public domain.