Manassa Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Manassa. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 28 and the first fall freeze around September 21, a growing season of about 115 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 10, first September 11
- Median at 32°F
- last May 28, first September 21
- Median at 28°F
- last May 13, first September 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 26 | Jun 20 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 27 |
| 32°F | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 |
| 28°F | Jun 2 | May 26 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 24°F | May 16 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 20°F | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 16°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 26 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 30 | Sep 2 | Sep 6 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 13 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 23 |
| 32°F | Sep 9 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 |
| 28°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 |
| 24°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 20°F | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 16°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 109 | 103 | 99 | 95 | 92 | 87 | 84 | 79 | 73 |
| 32°F | 133 | 127 | 122 | 118 | 115 | 111 | 108 | 103 | 97 |
| 28°F | 154 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 137 | 133 | 128 | 124 | 117 |
| 24°F | 174 | 169 | 163 | 159 | 156 | 152 | 149 | 145 | 139 |
| 20°F | 194 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 171 | 166 | 161 | 156 |
| 16°F | 217 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 173 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,776
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 71
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,462
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,447
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,589
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 890
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 366
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,397 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,067 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 876 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 626 | 0 | 20 |
| May | 379 | 1 | 131 |
| June | 125 | 14 | 340 |
| July | 42 | 39 | 462 |
| August | 81 | 16 | 400 |
| September | 256 | 1 | 205 |
| October | 600 | 0 | 29 |
| November | 963 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,366 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.4 km from Manassa. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00055322 (Manassa). Public domain.