Larimer County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Buckhorn Mtn 1 E. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 21 and the first fall freeze around September 29, a growing season of about 128 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 1, first September 21
- Median at 32°F
- last May 21, first September 29
- Median at 28°F
- last May 11, first October 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 15 | Jun 9 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 18 |
| 32°F | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 |
| 28°F | May 26 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 |
| 24°F | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 20°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 1 |
| 16°F | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 |
| 32°F | Sep 12 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 |
| 28°F | Sep 22 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 |
| 20°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 126 | 121 | 117 | 113 | 110 | 106 | 100 | 95 | 89 |
| 32°F | 148 | 140 | 136 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 120 | 115 | 107 |
| 28°F | 167 | 160 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 137 | 131 | 124 |
| 24°F | 189 | 182 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 143 |
| 20°F | 214 | 205 | 198 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 177 | 171 | 162 |
| 16°F | 240 | 229 | 223 | 216 | 211 | 204 | 197 | 191 | 182 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,154
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 300
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,797
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,762
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,910
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,219
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 681
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,070 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 981 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 891 | 0 | 8 |
| April | 736 | 0 | 21 |
| May | 486 | 2 | 107 |
| June | 173 | 41 | 331 |
| July | 43 | 128 | 551 |
| August | 63 | 96 | 499 |
| September | 225 | 33 | 291 |
| October | 578 | 1 | 83 |
| November | 830 | 0 | 17 |
| December | 1,079 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.9 km from Larimer County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00051060 (Buckhorn Mtn 1 E). Public domain.