La Junta Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for La Junta. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 15, a growing season of about 171 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 6, first October 7
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 15
- Median at 28°F
- last April 15, first October 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 |
| 32°F | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 24°F | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 20°F | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 |
| 16°F | Apr 1 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 |
| 32°F | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 |
| 28°F | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 24°F | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 |
| 20°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 |
| 16°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 169 | 163 | 159 | 156 | 153 | 150 | 145 | 141 | 135 |
| 32°F | 188 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 171 | 168 | 163 | 159 | 154 |
| 28°F | 210 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 172 |
| 24°F | 235 | 227 | 221 | 216 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 198 | 192 |
| 20°F | 258 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 217 | 209 |
| 16°F | 280 | 271 | 265 | 259 | 253 | 248 | 242 | 236 | 227 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,266
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,180
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,023
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,762
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,656
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,692
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,871
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,040 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 837 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 641 | 0 | 50 |
| April | 396 | 5 | 144 |
| May | 160 | 62 | 382 |
| June | 13 | 246 | 682 |
| July | 1 | 392 | 855 |
| August | 2 | 329 | 792 |
| September | 61 | 136 | 529 |
| October | 358 | 11 | 189 |
| November | 720 | 0 | 23 |
| December | 1,037 | 0 | 2 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.3 km from La Junta. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00054724 (La Junta). Public domain.