Fairplay Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Fairplay S Park Rd. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 16 and the first fall freeze around September 9, a growing season of about 83 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 16, first September 9
- Median at 28°F
- last June 2, first September 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 30 | Jun 26 | Jun 23 | Jun 20 | Jun 16 | Jun 13 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 2 |
| 28°F | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 |
| 24°F | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 24 | May 22 | May 19 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 5 |
| 20°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 13 | May 10 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 16°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 21 | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 |
| 28°F | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 |
| 24°F | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 |
| 20°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
| 16°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 69 | 61 | 56 | 51 | 47 | 43 | 38 | 35 | 30 |
| 32°F | 101 | 95 | 90 | 87 | 83 | 78 | 74 | 69 | 63 |
| 28°F | 126 | 120 | 116 | 112 | 107 | 103 | 99 | 94 | 87 |
| 24°F | 153 | 147 | 141 | 138 | 134 | 129 | 125 | 119 | 112 |
| 20°F | 175 | 168 | 163 | 159 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 141 | 134 |
| 16°F | 196 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 166 | 161 | 154 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 10,316
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 0
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 1,795
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,066
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 505
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 148
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 16
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,387 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,257 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,183 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 954 | 0 | 0 |
| May | 719 | 0 | 9 |
| June | 414 | 0 | 85 |
| July | 258 | 0 | 210 |
| August | 321 | 0 | 154 |
| September | 498 | 0 | 45 |
| October | 825 | 0 | 3 |
| November | 1,112 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,389 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.8 km from Fairplay. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00052816 (Fairplay S Park Rd). Public domain.