Chaffee County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Buena Vista 2S. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 27 and the first fall freeze around September 23, a growing season of about 116 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 8, first September 13
- Median at 32°F
- last May 27, first September 23
- Median at 28°F
- last May 15, first October 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 21 | Jun 18 | Jun 14 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 26 |
| 32°F | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 |
| 28°F | Jun 1 | May 26 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 |
| 24°F | May 18 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 19 |
| 20°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 16°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 13 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 |
| 32°F | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 |
| 28°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 |
| 24°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 |
| 20°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 |
| 16°F | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 113 | 106 | 102 | 98 | 95 | 92 | 88 | 84 | 77 |
| 32°F | 135 | 129 | 124 | 120 | 116 | 113 | 109 | 103 | 97 |
| 28°F | 158 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 138 | 133 | 129 | 124 | 117 |
| 24°F | 180 | 174 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 140 |
| 20°F | 201 | 194 | 189 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 160 |
| 16°F | 224 | 217 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 180 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,521
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 131
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,458
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,463
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,641
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 969
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 453
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,214 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,033 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 905 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 704 | 0 | 11 |
| May | 432 | 1 | 112 |
| June | 143 | 20 | 332 |
| July | 35 | 73 | 502 |
| August | 75 | 35 | 425 |
| September | 249 | 3 | 223 |
| October | 601 | 0 | 36 |
| November | 912 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,218 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.4 km from Chaffee County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00051071 (Buena Vista 2S). Public domain.