Bayfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ignacio 6ESE. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 23 and the first fall freeze around September 29, a growing season of about 128 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 5, first September 21
- Median at 32°F
- last May 23, first September 29
- Median at 28°F
- last May 7, first October 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 18 | Jun 13 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 29 | May 23 |
| 32°F | Jun 7 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 27 | May 23 | May 20 | May 18 | May 15 | May 9 |
| 28°F | May 23 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 |
| 24°F | May 9 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 20°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 |
| 16°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 |
| 32°F | Sep 18 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
| 28°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 24°F | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 16°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 123 | 117 | 112 | 109 | 106 | 103 | 99 | 95 | 88 |
| 32°F | 147 | 141 | 135 | 131 | 128 | 124 | 120 | 116 | 109 |
| 28°F | 170 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 135 |
| 24°F | 191 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 154 |
| 20°F | 216 | 209 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 175 |
| 16°F | 248 | 238 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 211 | 205 | 197 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,967
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 256
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,935
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,886
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,011
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,279
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 685
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,255 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 976 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 839 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 609 | 0 | 17 |
| May | 352 | 2 | 156 |
| June | 97 | 32 | 387 |
| July | 7 | 130 | 587 |
| August | 22 | 84 | 527 |
| September | 174 | 9 | 292 |
| October | 547 | 0 | 44 |
| November | 875 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,215 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.6 km from Bayfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00054254 (Ignacio 6ESE). Public domain.