Aspen Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Aspen 1SW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 2 and the first fall freeze around September 23, a growing season of about 113 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 16, first September 14
- Median at 32°F
- last June 2, first September 23
- Median at 28°F
- last May 18, first October 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jul 1 | Jun 25 | Jun 22 | Jun 19 | Jun 16 | Jun 13 | Jun 10 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 |
| 32°F | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 27 | May 22 | May 17 |
| 28°F | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 |
| 24°F | May 23 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 20°F | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 16°F | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 1 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 14 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 |
| 32°F | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 28°F | Sep 18 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 16 |
| 24°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
| 20°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 16°F | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 106 | 100 | 96 | 92 | 89 | 85 | 81 | 75 | 68 |
| 32°F | 131 | 124 | 120 | 116 | 113 | 109 | 104 | 100 | 92 |
| 28°F | 157 | 149 | 144 | 139 | 135 | 130 | 126 | 121 | 112 |
| 24°F | 178 | 172 | 167 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 144 | 135 |
| 20°F | 200 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 158 |
| 16°F | 221 | 214 | 209 | 204 | 201 | 195 | 191 | 185 | 179 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,880
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 20
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 2,713
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 1,834
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,109
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 543
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 173
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,366 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,151 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,046 | 0 | 0 |
| April | 806 | 0 | 3 |
| May | 543 | 0 | 54 |
| June | 260 | 2 | 209 |
| July | 112 | 13 | 367 |
| August | 157 | 5 | 315 |
| September | 347 | 0 | 143 |
| October | 698 | 0 | 18 |
| November | 1,035 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,361 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.9 km from Aspen. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00050372 (Aspen 1SW). Public domain.