Allenspark Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Estes Park 3 Sse. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 30 and the first fall freeze around September 17, a growing season of about 109 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 12, first September 6
- Median at 32°F
- last May 30, first September 17
- Median at 28°F
- last May 16, first September 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 28 | Jun 22 | Jun 18 | Jun 15 | Jun 12 | Jun 9 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 29 |
| 32°F | Jun 14 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 24 | May 20 | May 15 |
| 28°F | May 31 | May 25 | May 21 | May 18 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 3 |
| 24°F | May 18 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 20°F | May 9 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 16°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 23 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 |
| 32°F | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 |
| 28°F | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 |
| 24°F | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 24 |
| 20°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 |
| 16°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 105 | 99 | 93 | 89 | 84 | 80 | 75 | 70 | 62 |
| 32°F | 130 | 123 | 117 | 113 | 109 | 105 | 101 | 95 | 87 |
| 28°F | 154 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 134 | 130 | 124 | 119 | 112 |
| 24°F | 174 | 168 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 147 | 142 | 134 |
| 20°F | 199 | 191 | 185 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 160 | 152 |
| 16°F | 222 | 212 | 205 | 199 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 179 | 171 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,095
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 85
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,059
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,132
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,377
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 776
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 337
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,191 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,074 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 989 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 786 | 0 | 9 |
| May | 529 | 1 | 79 |
| June | 217 | 14 | 261 |
| July | 69 | 44 | 440 |
| August | 115 | 23 | 375 |
| September | 321 | 3 | 174 |
| October | 670 | 0 | 34 |
| November | 936 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,200 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.2 km from Allenspark. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00052761 (Estes Park 3 Sse). Public domain.