Willows Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Willows 6 W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 21 and the first fall freeze around December 6, a growing season of about 289 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 2, first November 23
- Median at 32°F
- last February 21, first December 6
- Median at 28°F
- last January 5, first December 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 25 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 10 | Feb 25 |
| 32°F | Apr 9 | Mar 29 | Mar 13 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 | Feb 11 | Jan 30 | Jan 15 | Jan 4 |
| 28°F | Feb 24 | Feb 5 | Jan 24 | Jan 14 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 28 | Dec 21 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Jan 4 | Dec 31 | Dec 29 | Dec 23 | Dec 19 | Dec 14 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 |
| 32°F | Nov 16 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 18 | Dec 29 |
| 28°F | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 6 | Jan 27 |
| 24°F | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 18 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 275 | 258 | 248 | 239 | 233 | 227 | 221 | 215 | 205 |
| 32°F | 334 | 321 | 308 | 300 | 289 | 278 | 266 | 254 | 235 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 356 | 348 | 341 | 334 | 323 | 303 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 70% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 18% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 1% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,185
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,732
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,677
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,893
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,247
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,840
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,683
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 490 | 0 | 51 |
| February | 355 | 0 | 99 |
| March | 284 | 5 | 201 |
| April | 155 | 35 | 333 |
| May | 47 | 148 | 566 |
| June | 7 | 311 | 754 |
| July | 0 | 429 | 894 |
| August | 0 | 386 | 851 |
| September | 3 | 294 | 741 |
| October | 53 | 118 | 530 |
| November | 287 | 5 | 184 |
| December | 505 | 0 | 43 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.5 km from Willows. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00049699 (Willows 6 W). Public domain.