Willits Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Willits 1 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 9, a growing season of about 157 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 1, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 5, first October 9
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first October 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 23 | Jun 16 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 25 | May 20 | May 14 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 23 | May 17 | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | Apr 23 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 13 | Mar 5 | Feb 18 |
| 24°F | Mar 26 | Mar 12 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 | Feb 11 | Jan 31 | Jan 15 | Jan 1 | Dec 20 |
| 20°F | Feb 12 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 25 | Dec 17 | Dec 7 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Jan 21 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 29 | Dec 21 | Dec 15 | Dec 10 | Dec 6 | Dec 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 1 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 24 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 31 |
| 28°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 10 | Nov 18 | Nov 30 |
| 24°F | Oct 25 | Nov 2 | Nov 10 | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Jan 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 15 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 | Jan 30 |
| 16°F | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 134 | 124 | 118 | 112 | 107 | 102 | 96 | 89 | 80 |
| 32°F | 187 | 177 | 169 | 162 | 157 | 151 | 145 | 137 | 128 |
| 28°F | 262 | 244 | 232 | 224 | 216 | 206 | 199 | 189 | 178 |
| 24°F | 342 | 327 | 314 | 304 | 293 | 283 | 269 | 254 | 238 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 343 | 334 | 326 | 312 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 56% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 13% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,527
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 195
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,875
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,324
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,093
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,185
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 556
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 667 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 554 | 0 | 17 |
| March | 550 | 0 | 38 |
| April | 464 | 0 | 66 |
| May | 328 | 4 | 164 |
| June | 178 | 23 | 298 |
| July | 57 | 80 | 488 |
| August | 70 | 53 | 448 |
| September | 120 | 30 | 361 |
| October | 324 | 3 | 166 |
| November | 522 | 0 | 38 |
| December | 693 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.6 km from Willits. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00049684 (Willits 1 Ne). Public domain.