Weldon Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Kern River Ph 3. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 7 and the first fall freeze around November 11, a growing season of about 217 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 26, first October 31
- Median at 32°F
- last April 7, first November 11
- Median at 28°F
- last March 10, first November 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 25 | Mar 16 |
| 28°F | Apr 6 | Mar 30 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 10 |
| 24°F | Mar 4 | Feb 26 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 6 | Dec 27 |
| 20°F | Feb 3 | Jan 27 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 26 | Dec 20 | Dec 12 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 |
| 32°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
| 28°F | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 12 |
| 24°F | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 14 | Jan 26 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 207 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 171 | 161 |
| 32°F | 241 | 233 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 202 | 193 |
| 28°F | 291 | 278 | 270 | 264 | 257 | 250 | 242 | 236 | 226 |
| 24°F | 356 | 338 | 330 | 322 | 314 | 305 | 295 | 283 | 269 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 356 | 348 | 339 | 331 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 48% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 6% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,986
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,654
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,831
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,151
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,694
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,483
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,477
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 587 | 0 | 25 |
| February | 475 | 0 | 47 |
| March | 415 | 1 | 117 |
| April | 273 | 12 | 215 |
| May | 115 | 87 | 440 |
| June | 13 | 265 | 702 |
| July | 0 | 483 | 948 |
| August | 0 | 457 | 922 |
| September | 10 | 274 | 714 |
| October | 118 | 70 | 419 |
| November | 385 | 4 | 119 |
| December | 595 | 0 | 25 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.7 km from Weldon. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00044523 (Kern River Ph 3). Public domain.