Thermalito Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Oroville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around January 30 and the first fall freeze around December 13, a growing season of about 321 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 8, first November 27
- Median at 32°F
- last January 30, first December 13
- Median at 28°F
- last January 5, first December 25
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 17 | Apr 5 | Mar 27 | Mar 16 | Mar 8 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 13 | Feb 3 |
| 32°F | Mar 3 | Feb 22 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | Dec 26 |
| 28°F | Feb 4 | Jan 28 | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 26 | Dec 21 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Jan 26 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 | Dec 30 | Dec 25 | Dec 22 | Dec 17 | Dec 11 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 18 |
| 32°F | Nov 21 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 |
| 28°F | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 10 | Jan 25 |
| 24°F | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 | Dec 27 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 | Jan 24 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 305 | 291 | 280 | 271 | 263 | 255 | 244 | 233 | 219 |
| 32°F | 357 | 345 | 336 | 329 | 321 | 312 | 304 | 292 | 276 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 354 | 348 | 341 | 331 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 94% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 55% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 18% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 1% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,215
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,700
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,616
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,829
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,179
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,773
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,620
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 505 | 0 | 38 |
| February | 356 | 0 | 93 |
| March | 266 | 4 | 214 |
| April | 153 | 30 | 328 |
| May | 46 | 143 | 563 |
| June | 8 | 312 | 755 |
| July | 0 | 462 | 927 |
| August | 0 | 412 | 877 |
| September | 6 | 256 | 701 |
| October | 72 | 77 | 470 |
| November | 298 | 3 | 172 |
| December | 505 | 0 | 43 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3 km from Thermalito. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00046521 (Oroville). Public domain.