Thermal Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Desert Resorts Rgnl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 7 and the first fall freeze around December 2, a growing season of about 298 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last February 28, first November 21
- Median at 32°F
- last February 7, first December 2
- Median at 28°F
- last January 15, first December 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 25 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 1 |
| 32°F | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 7 |
| 28°F | Feb 16 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 27 | Dec 18 |
| 24°F | Feb 1 | Jan 20 | Jan 9 | Jan 3 | Dec 31 | Dec 26 | Dec 21 | Dec 16 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | Jan 20 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 31 | Dec 27 | Dec 22 | Dec 17 | Dec 12 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 |
| 32°F | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 |
| 28°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 5 |
| 24°F | Dec 1 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 21 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 16 |
| 20°F | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 20 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 295 | 283 | 277 | 272 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 247 | 236 |
| 32°F | 331 | 319 | 310 | 303 | 298 | 291 | 285 | 278 | 269 |
| 28°F | 362 | 353 | 346 | 340 | 334 | 327 | 320 | 310 | 297 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 357 | 350 | 341 | 329 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 51% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 14% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,108
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 3,880
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 11,897
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 10,078
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 8,296
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 6,629
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 5,155
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 312 | 2 | 171 |
| February | 191 | 11 | 246 |
| March | 78 | 79 | 467 |
| April | 18 | 198 | 630 |
| May | 2 | 428 | 891 |
| June | 0 | 632 | 1,082 |
| July | 0 | 814 | 1,279 |
| August | 0 | 792 | 1,257 |
| September | 0 | 596 | 1,046 |
| October | 9 | 285 | 741 |
| November | 141 | 42 | 355 |
| December | 357 | 1 | 132 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.4 km from Thermal. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003104 (Desert Resorts Rgnl AP). Public domain.