Tehachapi Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Tehachapi 4 Se. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 28 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 183 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 16, first October 10
- Median at 32°F
- last April 28, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last April 12, first November 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 27 |
| 32°F | May 21 | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 25 | Mar 14 |
| 24°F | Apr 14 | Apr 6 | Mar 30 | Mar 22 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 20 | Mar 5 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 26 | Jan 10 | Dec 24 |
| 16°F | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 24 | Jan 11 | Jan 3 | Dec 27 | Dec 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 4 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 17 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 |
| 24°F | Nov 9 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 22 | Feb 8 |
| 16°F | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 13 | Jan 26 | Feb 9 | Feb 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 176 | 166 | 159 | 154 | 149 | 143 | 137 | 130 | 122 |
| 32°F | 209 | 201 | 194 | 189 | 183 | 177 | 170 | 162 | 154 |
| 28°F | 250 | 239 | 231 | 225 | 218 | 212 | 207 | 199 | 187 |
| 24°F | 300 | 287 | 277 | 270 | 263 | 253 | 245 | 236 | 225 |
| 20°F | 360 | 344 | 333 | 322 | 313 | 305 | 296 | 285 | 268 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 352 | 342 | 327 | 309 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 91% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 54% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,443
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 631
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,563
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,115
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,922
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,972
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,217
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 721 | 0 | 8 |
| February | 645 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 609 | 0 | 29 |
| April | 488 | 0 | 70 |
| May | 277 | 18 | 235 |
| June | 76 | 91 | 467 |
| July | 5 | 220 | 680 |
| August | 6 | 203 | 662 |
| September | 72 | 90 | 470 |
| October | 269 | 9 | 227 |
| November | 525 | 0 | 59 |
| December | 750 | 0 | 7 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.2 km from Tehachapi. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00048829 (Tehachapi 4 Se). Public domain.