Sonora Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Sonora. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 9 and the first fall freeze around November 9, a growing season of about 213 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 30, first October 25
- Median at 32°F
- last April 9, first November 9
- Median at 28°F
- last March 4, first November 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 19 | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 11 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 25 | Mar 15 |
| 28°F | Apr 8 | Mar 29 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 12 | Jan 31 |
| 24°F | Feb 28 | Feb 19 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 28 | Jan 20 | Jan 9 | Jan 1 | Dec 23 |
| 20°F | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 28 | Dec 23 | Dec 15 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 7 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 12 |
| 32°F | Oct 19 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 28°F | Nov 7 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 19 |
| 24°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 27 |
| 20°F | Dec 5 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 14 | Jan 27 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 202 | 194 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 173 | 167 | 160 | 152 |
| 32°F | 244 | 231 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 207 | 200 | 194 | 186 |
| 28°F | 305 | 292 | 281 | 272 | 264 | 257 | 248 | 239 | 227 |
| 24°F | 365 | 352 | 341 | 333 | 325 | 318 | 309 | 299 | 286 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 350 | 338 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 89% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 38% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 6% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,572
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 926
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,542
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,927
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,560
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,466
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,603
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 643 | 0 | 9 |
| February | 526 | 0 | 23 |
| March | 479 | 0 | 67 |
| April | 356 | 2 | 136 |
| May | 174 | 36 | 333 |
| June | 45 | 137 | 542 |
| July | 2 | 306 | 769 |
| August | 2 | 272 | 735 |
| September | 36 | 148 | 563 |
| October | 195 | 27 | 304 |
| November | 456 | 0 | 72 |
| December | 659 | 0 | 8 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.9 km from Sonora. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00048353 (Sonora). Public domain.