Shandon Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Paso Robles Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 4 and the first fall freeze around November 5, a growing season of about 213 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 29, first October 21
- Median at 32°F
- last April 4, first November 5
- Median at 28°F
- last February 22, first November 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 17 | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 |
| 32°F | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 15 | Mar 2 |
| 28°F | Mar 31 | Mar 20 | Mar 8 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Jan 30 | Jan 13 |
| 24°F | Feb 22 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 | Dec 25 | Dec 11 |
| 20°F | Jan 28 | Jan 14 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 29 | Dec 25 | Dec 20 | Dec 15 | Dec 5 |
| 16°F | Jan 9 | Jan 1 | Dec 30 | Dec 26 | Dec 23 | Dec 19 | Dec 14 | Dec 12 | Dec 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 28°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
| 24°F | Nov 16 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 26 | Jan 13 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 |
| 16°F | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 11 | Dec 14 | Dec 18 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 201 | 192 | 186 | 181 | 175 | 171 | 165 | 159 | 151 |
| 32°F | 251 | 237 | 226 | 220 | 213 | 208 | 201 | 193 | 183 |
| 28°F | 315 | 300 | 290 | 280 | 274 | 265 | 254 | 244 | 230 |
| 24°F | 365 | 352 | 341 | 335 | 329 | 321 | 312 | 302 | 286 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 350 | 340 | 331 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 86% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 40% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 11% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,760
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 959
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,334
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,583
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,015
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,731
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,722
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 526 | 0 | 32 |
| February | 417 | 0 | 59 |
| March | 357 | 0 | 135 |
| April | 243 | 7 | 222 |
| May | 108 | 56 | 414 |
| June | 26 | 150 | 575 |
| July | 4 | 264 | 725 |
| August | 2 | 269 | 732 |
| September | 20 | 170 | 600 |
| October | 131 | 41 | 376 |
| November | 366 | 1 | 122 |
| December | 563 | 0 | 23 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 22.9 km from Shandon. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00093209 (Paso Robles Muni AP). Public domain.