Ripon Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Stockton Metro AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 6 and the first fall freeze around December 1, a growing season of about 304 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 10, first November 18
- Median at 32°F
- last February 6, first December 1
- Median at 28°F
- last January 10, first December 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 7 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 11 |
| 32°F | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 14 | Dec 31 |
| 28°F | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 10 | Jan 5 | Dec 30 | Dec 24 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Jan 20 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 7 | Jan 1 | Dec 29 | Dec 25 | Dec 19 | Dec 12 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 |
| 32°F | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 26 |
| 28°F | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 5 | Jan 14 |
| 24°F | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 15 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 285 | 273 | 266 | 259 | 253 | 246 | 239 | 230 | 219 |
| 32°F | 339 | 328 | 319 | 310 | 304 | 297 | 290 | 281 | 271 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 359 | 351 | 346 | 339 | 334 | 327 | 315 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 359 | 347 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 77% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 30% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 4% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,260
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,566
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,439
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,666
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,040
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,646
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,494
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 525 | 0 | 35 |
| February | 361 | 0 | 88 |
| March | 270 | 1 | 204 |
| April | 146 | 24 | 330 |
| May | 41 | 125 | 549 |
| June | 4 | 274 | 720 |
| July | 0 | 408 | 873 |
| August | 0 | 383 | 848 |
| September | 3 | 271 | 719 |
| October | 64 | 78 | 479 |
| November | 311 | 2 | 159 |
| December | 535 | 0 | 37 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.7 km from Ripon. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00023237 (Stockton Metro AP). Public domain.