Pine Valley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mt Laguna #3. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around November 8, a growing season of about 197 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first October 23
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first November 8
- Median at 28°F
- last April 2, first December 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 22 | May 16 | May 10 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 15 |
| 32°F | May 21 | May 13 | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 22 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 25 |
| 28°F | May 8 | Apr 28 | Apr 19 | Apr 10 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 18 | Mar 8 | Feb 22 |
| 24°F | Apr 21 | Apr 4 | Mar 23 | Mar 12 | Mar 2 | Feb 23 | Feb 8 | Jan 27 | Jan 9 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Feb 28 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 1 | Jan 22 | Jan 13 | Jan 5 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Feb 23 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Jan 30 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 32°F | Oct 10 | Oct 21 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Dec 4 |
| 28°F | Nov 2 | Nov 10 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 18 | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 12 | Jan 30 |
| 20°F | Dec 11 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 26 | Feb 7 | Feb 23 |
| 16°F | Dec 31 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 13 | Jan 19 | Jan 25 | Feb 2 | Feb 11 | Feb 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 195 | 184 | 177 | 171 | 164 | 159 | 150 | 142 | 131 |
| 32°F | 232 | 221 | 211 | 204 | 197 | 189 | 181 | 173 | 163 |
| 28°F | 286 | 267 | 256 | 246 | 236 | 227 | 217 | 208 | 195 |
| 24°F | 345 | 326 | 311 | 301 | 288 | 277 | 265 | 251 | 234 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 344 | 333 | 320 | 309 | 293 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 328 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 69% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 29% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,361
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 537
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,596
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,145
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,908
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,907
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,131
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 722 | 0 | 10 |
| February | 647 | 0 | 20 |
| March | 612 | 0 | 39 |
| April | 436 | 1 | 101 |
| May | 271 | 20 | 248 |
| June | 70 | 80 | 461 |
| July | 6 | 196 | 656 |
| August | 6 | 167 | 626 |
| September | 69 | 66 | 449 |
| October | 286 | 7 | 215 |
| November | 529 | 0 | 63 |
| December | 707 | 0 | 20 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.5 km from Pine Valley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00045968 (Mt Laguna #3). Public domain.