Penryn Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Auburn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 25 and the first fall freeze around December 5, a growing season of about 286 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 5, first November 19
- Median at 32°F
- last February 25, first December 5
- Median at 28°F
- last January 13, first December 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 30 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 23 | Mar 14 | Mar 2 |
| 32°F | Apr 7 | Mar 28 | Mar 14 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Feb 5 | Jan 27 | Jan 15 |
| 28°F | Feb 25 | Feb 12 | Jan 31 | Jan 20 | Jan 13 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 28 | Dec 19 |
| 24°F | Jan 28 | Jan 13 | Jan 8 | Jan 3 | Dec 31 | Dec 28 | Dec 22 | Dec 17 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 30 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 32°F | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 31 |
| 28°F | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 22 |
| 24°F | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 24 | Dec 28 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 261 | 248 | 239 | 233 | 227 | 220 | 213 | 205 | 195 |
| 32°F | 330 | 314 | 305 | 294 | 286 | 275 | 265 | 253 | 236 |
| 28°F | 365 | 364 | 357 | 351 | 344 | 338 | 330 | 318 | 302 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 355 | 343 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 81% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 30% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 5% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 2% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,813
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,453
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,786
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,060
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,541
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,284
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,270
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 556 | 0 | 29 |
| February | 428 | 0 | 62 |
| March | 382 | 1 | 130 |
| April | 268 | 12 | 211 |
| May | 113 | 88 | 442 |
| June | 24 | 222 | 648 |
| July | 1 | 405 | 870 |
| August | 1 | 385 | 849 |
| September | 13 | 257 | 695 |
| October | 103 | 80 | 443 |
| November | 350 | 3 | 140 |
| December | 573 | 0 | 23 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.6 km from Penryn. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00040383 (Auburn). Public domain.