Penn Valley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grass Valley #2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around November 13, a growing season of about 215 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 31
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first November 13
- Median at 28°F
- last March 9, first December 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 32°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 17 |
| 28°F | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 25 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Jan 31 |
| 24°F | Feb 27 | Feb 16 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 | Jan 21 | Jan 13 | Jan 5 | Dec 30 | Dec 19 |
| 20°F | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 | Dec 31 | Dec 29 | Dec 25 | Dec 19 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 11 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 |
| 32°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 19 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 | Jan 24 |
| 20°F | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 13 | Jan 25 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 204 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 171 | 165 | 157 |
| 32°F | 244 | 232 | 225 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 205 | 198 | 188 |
| 28°F | 310 | 294 | 283 | 274 | 268 | 259 | 249 | 241 | 230 |
| 24°F | 365 | 362 | 352 | 343 | 336 | 329 | 320 | 307 | 291 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 349 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 84% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 25% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 2% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,963
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 749
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,020
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,479
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,206
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,191
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,380
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 671 | 0 | 7 |
| February | 573 | 0 | 16 |
| March | 544 | 0 | 48 |
| April | 410 | 1 | 108 |
| May | 218 | 26 | 287 |
| June | 66 | 108 | 493 |
| July | 5 | 256 | 716 |
| August | 5 | 225 | 685 |
| September | 49 | 115 | 517 |
| October | 231 | 19 | 267 |
| November | 497 | 0 | 59 |
| December | 694 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.6 km from Penn Valley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00043573 (Grass Valley #2). Public domain.