Oakhurst Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for N Fk RS. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around November 4, a growing season of about 192 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 13, first October 20
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first November 4
- Median at 28°F
- last April 5, first November 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 6 | May 31 | May 25 | May 18 | May 13 | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 14 | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 18 | Mar 9 |
| 24°F | Apr 2 | Mar 26 | Mar 16 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Jan 27 |
| 20°F | Mar 4 | Feb 24 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 12 | Jan 4 | Dec 25 |
| 16°F | Feb 11 | Jan 28 | Jan 16 | Jan 9 | Jan 4 | Dec 31 | Dec 26 | Dec 20 | Dec 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 32°F | Oct 14 | Oct 21 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 24°F | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 |
| 20°F | Nov 29 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 26 |
| 16°F | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 15 | Jan 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 185 | 176 | 169 | 163 | 159 | 153 | 147 | 139 | 131 |
| 32°F | 216 | 208 | 203 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 181 | 173 | 163 |
| 28°F | 261 | 248 | 241 | 234 | 227 | 220 | 214 | 208 | 198 |
| 24°F | 318 | 306 | 295 | 286 | 278 | 270 | 261 | 252 | 242 |
| 20°F | 365 | 356 | 346 | 337 | 329 | 319 | 311 | 299 | 287 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 | 349 | 334 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 91% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 47% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,504
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,150
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,855
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,254
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,875
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,760
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,867
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 648 | 0 | 18 |
| February | 545 | 0 | 24 |
| March | 498 | 0 | 67 |
| April | 376 | 2 | 131 |
| May | 175 | 43 | 344 |
| June | 42 | 160 | 569 |
| July | 2 | 360 | 823 |
| August | 2 | 344 | 808 |
| September | 24 | 198 | 624 |
| October | 175 | 43 | 343 |
| November | 427 | 1 | 95 |
| December | 592 | 0 | 30 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 16.2 km from Oakhurst. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00046252 (N Fk RS). Public domain.