Needles Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Needles AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
A freeze (32°F or colder) happens in only 37 percent of years at Needles AP, so there is no typical freeze season.
- Median at 36°F
- last January 15, first December 21
- Median at 32°F
- last January 6, first January 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Feb 20 | Feb 7 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 3 | Dec 29 | Dec 18 |
| 32°F | Feb 10 | Jan 29 | Jan 16 | Jan 11 | Jan 6 | Jan 3 | Dec 31 | Dec 25 | Dec 16 |
| 28°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 26 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 18 |
| 32°F | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 21 | Feb 5 |
| 28°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 365 | 359 | 352 | 345 | 339 | 331 | 323 | 313 | 302 |
| 32°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 354 | 340 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 88% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 37% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 4% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 941
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 5,049
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 13,233
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 11,411
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 9,615
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 7,913
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 6,382
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 275 | 2 | 204 |
| February | 161 | 18 | 280 |
| March | 62 | 112 | 515 |
| April | 12 | 273 | 711 |
| May | 1 | 562 | 1,026 |
| June | 0 | 840 | 1,290 |
| July | 0 | 1,040 | 1,505 |
| August | 0 | 1,003 | 1,468 |
| September | 0 | 749 | 1,199 |
| October | 5 | 379 | 839 |
| November | 105 | 70 | 416 |
| December | 319 | 2 | 164 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9 km from Needles. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00023179 (Needles AP). Public domain.