Mountain Ranch Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Calaveras Big Trees. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 7 and the first fall freeze around October 28, a growing season of about 169 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 30, first October 11
- Median at 32°F
- last May 7, first October 28
- Median at 28°F
- last April 18, first November 14
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 14 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 25 | May 20 | May 14 | May 7 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 25 | May 18 | May 13 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 18 |
| 28°F | May 12 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Mar 28 |
| 24°F | Apr 20 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 4 | Feb 19 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 16 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 | Jan 23 | Jan 5 |
| 16°F | Feb 28 | Feb 19 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 22 | Jan 13 | Jan 5 | Dec 27 | Dec 15 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 16 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 |
| 24°F | Nov 6 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 |
| 20°F | Nov 24 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 2 | Jan 17 | Feb 1 |
| 16°F | Dec 4 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 12 | Jan 21 | Feb 1 | Feb 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 165 | 156 | 149 | 142 | 136 | 130 | 125 | 119 | 111 |
| 32°F | 199 | 190 | 183 | 175 | 169 | 164 | 157 | 149 | 139 |
| 28°F | 241 | 229 | 221 | 214 | 207 | 201 | 193 | 186 | 175 |
| 24°F | 289 | 274 | 265 | 257 | 249 | 242 | 234 | 224 | 210 |
| 20°F | 355 | 335 | 322 | 310 | 301 | 293 | 282 | 272 | 258 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 356 | 344 | 333 | 320 | 305 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 97% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 58% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,640
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 319
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,366
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,155
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,183
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,396
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 770
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 846 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 759 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 767 | 0 | 7 |
| April | 615 | 0 | 33 |
| May | 403 | 5 | 146 |
| June | 158 | 38 | 342 |
| July | 27 | 123 | 561 |
| August | 30 | 103 | 538 |
| September | 128 | 43 | 372 |
| October | 379 | 7 | 155 |
| November | 654 | 0 | 26 |
| December | 873 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.8 km from Mountain Ranch. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00041277 (Calaveras Big Trees). Public domain.