Mountain Gate Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Shasta Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 8 and the first fall freeze around December 28, a growing season of about 322 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 19, first December 6
- Median at 32°F
- last February 8, first December 28
- Median at 28°F
- last January 18, first January 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 16 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 10 | Mar 1 | Feb 20 | Feb 6 |
| 32°F | Mar 28 | Mar 11 | Mar 1 | Feb 20 | Feb 8 | Jan 29 | Jan 16 | Jan 5 | Dec 26 |
| 28°F | Mar 14 | Feb 28 | Feb 14 | Jan 31 | Jan 18 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 23 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 16 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Dec 30 |
| 32°F | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 21 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 | Jan 24 | Feb 18 |
| 28°F | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 21 | Feb 5 | Feb 25 | Mar 10 |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 313 | 294 | 281 | 271 | 263 | 256 | 249 | 240 | 231 |
| 32°F | 365 | 357 | 345 | 331 | 322 | 311 | 301 | 285 | 268 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 | 344 | 321 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 87% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 27% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 3% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 1% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,582
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,071
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,630
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,891
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,342
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,045
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,970
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 535 | 0 | 40 |
| February | 415 | 0 | 72 |
| March | 356 | 4 | 156 |
| April | 221 | 29 | 273 |
| May | 80 | 147 | 533 |
| June | 15 | 333 | 768 |
| July | 1 | 558 | 1,023 |
| August | 0 | 523 | 987 |
| September | 7 | 356 | 799 |
| October | 80 | 117 | 503 |
| November | 328 | 5 | 156 |
| December | 545 | 0 | 33 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.1 km from Mountain Gate. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00048135 (Shasta Dam). Public domain.