Madison Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Woodland 1 Wnw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 7 and the first fall freeze around December 5, a growing season of about 301 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 15, first November 20
- Median at 32°F
- last February 7, first December 5
- Median at 28°F
- last January 10, first December 18
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 12 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 | Feb 15 |
| 32°F | Mar 11 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 9 |
| 28°F | Feb 2 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 4 | Dec 31 | Dec 25 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | Jan 2 | Dec 31 | Dec 29 | Dec 25 | Dec 20 | Dec 11 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 |
| 32°F | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 12 | Dec 19 | Jan 1 |
| 28°F | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 16 |
| 24°F | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 27 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 18 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 280 | 268 | 260 | 253 | 246 | 240 | 232 | 225 | 215 |
| 32°F | 336 | 325 | 316 | 308 | 301 | 294 | 285 | 273 | 260 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 359 | 353 | 347 | 341 | 336 | 332 | 320 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 349 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 71% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 24% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 1% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,432
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,416
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,119
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,356
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,768
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,427
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,317
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 561 | 0 | 20 |
| February | 386 | 0 | 72 |
| March | 291 | 3 | 191 |
| April | 162 | 25 | 316 |
| May | 54 | 117 | 529 |
| June | 7 | 253 | 696 |
| July | 0 | 358 | 823 |
| August | 0 | 335 | 800 |
| September | 5 | 247 | 691 |
| October | 75 | 76 | 467 |
| November | 331 | 1 | 143 |
| December | 560 | 0 | 22 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.1 km from Madison. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00049781 (Woodland 1 Wnw). Public domain.