Lytle Creek Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Wrightwood. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 16 and the first fall freeze around October 13, a growing season of about 151 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 4, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 16, first October 13
- Median at 28°F
- last April 25, first October 30
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 20 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 23 | May 14 |
| 32°F | Jun 9 | Jun 3 | May 29 | May 22 | May 16 | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 28°F | May 13 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 |
| 24°F | Apr 25 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 7 |
| 20°F | Apr 12 | Apr 2 | Mar 22 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 9 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 | Jan 15 | Dec 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 10 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Sep 25 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 24°F | Oct 22 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 20 |
| 16°F | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 17 | Feb 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 146 | 136 | 130 | 125 | 119 | 114 | 109 | 103 | 93 |
| 32°F | 178 | 169 | 162 | 157 | 151 | 144 | 137 | 131 | 122 |
| 28°F | 209 | 202 | 195 | 190 | 186 | 180 | 175 | 169 | 160 |
| 24°F | 255 | 243 | 235 | 228 | 222 | 216 | 210 | 203 | 193 |
| 20°F | 299 | 286 | 279 | 272 | 265 | 258 | 248 | 238 | 225 |
| 16°F | 358 | 340 | 329 | 320 | 309 | 302 | 292 | 282 | 269 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 95% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,692
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 237
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,250
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,027
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,050
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,266
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 653
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 881 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 799 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 719 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 565 | 0 | 38 |
| May | 345 | 2 | 166 |
| June | 135 | 20 | 339 |
| July | 22 | 111 | 555 |
| August | 35 | 86 | 516 |
| September | 149 | 17 | 325 |
| October | 448 | 1 | 93 |
| November | 696 | 0 | 8 |
| December | 897 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.1 km from Lytle Creek. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00049822 (Wrightwood). Public domain.