Greeley Hill Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Groveland 2. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around November 2, a growing season of about 192 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 11, first October 14
- Median at 32°F
- last April 22, first November 2
- Median at 28°F
- last March 29, first November 19
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 30 | May 25 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 14 | May 7 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
| 28°F | Apr 22 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 5 |
| 24°F | Mar 25 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 | Jan 20 |
| 20°F | Mar 1 | Feb 21 | Feb 10 | Feb 3 | Jan 23 | Jan 14 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 20 |
| 16°F | Feb 7 | Jan 29 | Jan 18 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 29 | Dec 21 | Dec 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 |
| 32°F | Oct 13 | Oct 20 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 30 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 24°F | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 29 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 3 | Jan 14 | Jan 31 |
| 16°F | Dec 7 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 12 | Jan 22 | Feb 3 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 173 | 167 | 161 | 156 | 151 | 145 | 139 | 128 |
| 32°F | 220 | 209 | 203 | 197 | 192 | 185 | 179 | 172 | 163 |
| 28°F | 267 | 255 | 247 | 241 | 235 | 229 | 221 | 213 | 200 |
| 24°F | 327 | 312 | 302 | 293 | 285 | 277 | 269 | 261 | 250 |
| 20°F | 365 | 362 | 354 | 345 | 336 | 328 | 319 | 306 | 293 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 355 | 341 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 85% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 35% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,099
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 802
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,994
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,490
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,242
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,240
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,434
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 707 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 602 | 0 | 12 |
| March | 544 | 0 | 50 |
| April | 408 | 1 | 110 |
| May | 223 | 25 | 281 |
| June | 55 | 116 | 512 |
| July | 3 | 274 | 736 |
| August | 3 | 245 | 707 |
| September | 56 | 124 | 520 |
| October | 245 | 17 | 253 |
| November | 522 | 0 | 52 |
| December | 733 | 0 | 4 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.9 km from Greeley Hill. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00043669 (Groveland 2). Public domain.