Graton Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Graton. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 20 and the first fall freeze around November 13, a growing season of about 240 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 24
- Median at 32°F
- last March 20, first November 13
- Median at 28°F
- last February 1, first December 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Mar 31 |
| 32°F | Apr 19 | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Feb 27 | Feb 12 |
| 28°F | Mar 7 | Feb 27 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 16 | Jan 3 | Dec 25 |
| 24°F | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 15 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 29 | Dec 24 | Dec 14 | Dec 6 |
| 20°F | Jan 23 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 29 | Dec 23 | Dec 18 | Dec 11 | Dec 2 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 32°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 | Dec 6 |
| 28°F | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 26 | Jan 8 |
| 24°F | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 19 |
| 20°F | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 9 | Jan 22 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 215 | 203 | 196 | 189 | 182 | 177 | 169 | 161 | 149 |
| 32°F | 285 | 267 | 256 | 247 | 240 | 232 | 222 | 213 | 200 |
| 28°F | 347 | 335 | 325 | 316 | 307 | 299 | 290 | 280 | 266 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 364 | 357 | 350 | 341 | 334 | 323 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 360 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 55% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 11% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,927
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 327
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,531
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,764
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,190
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,910
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 943
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 538 | 0 | 24 |
| February | 402 | 0 | 66 |
| March | 363 | 0 | 127 |
| April | 267 | 3 | 193 |
| May | 160 | 16 | 321 |
| June | 60 | 54 | 444 |
| July | 26 | 74 | 513 |
| August | 22 | 85 | 529 |
| September | 43 | 69 | 476 |
| October | 143 | 25 | 348 |
| November | 353 | 1 | 124 |
| December | 550 | 0 | 26 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.8 km from Graton. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00043578 (Graton). Public domain.