Geyserville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Healdsburg. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 15 and the first fall freeze around December 2, a growing season of about 292 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 29, first November 16
- Median at 32°F
- last February 15, first December 2
- Median at 28°F
- last January 7, first December 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 20 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 | Feb 27 |
| 32°F | Mar 17 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 21 | Jan 4 |
| 28°F | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 14 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 29 | Dec 23 | Dec 14 |
| 24°F | Jan 28 | Jan 19 | Jan 13 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 31 | Dec 24 | Dec 18 | Dec 10 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 |
| 32°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Jan 1 |
| 28°F | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 12 |
| 24°F | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 15 | Jan 25 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 269 | 256 | 247 | 240 | 234 | 228 | 222 | 214 | 206 |
| 32°F | 334 | 321 | 310 | 299 | 292 | 282 | 274 | 266 | 254 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 362 | 354 | 347 | 341 | 335 | 330 | 320 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 361 | 348 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 70% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 22% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 3% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,524
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 781
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,386
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,605
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,988
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,650
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,584
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 512 | 0 | 35 |
| February | 385 | 0 | 74 |
| March | 332 | 1 | 152 |
| April | 203 | 11 | 260 |
| May | 84 | 60 | 442 |
| June | 15 | 158 | 593 |
| July | 2 | 204 | 667 |
| August | 3 | 189 | 651 |
| September | 15 | 119 | 554 |
| October | 109 | 38 | 394 |
| November | 337 | 1 | 138 |
| December | 527 | 0 | 31 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9.3 km from Geyserville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00043875 (Healdsburg). Public domain.