Fall River Mills Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hat Creek. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 29 and the first fall freeze around September 19, a growing season of about 113 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last May 29, first September 19
- Median at 28°F
- last May 6, first October 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 23 | Jun 13 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 24 | May 18 | May 13 | May 8 |
| 28°F | Jun 3 | May 22 | May 15 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 19 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 2 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 |
| 20°F | Apr 21 | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 26 |
| 16°F | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Sep 5 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 |
| 28°F | Sep 19 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 22 |
| 24°F | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 |
| 20°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 16°F | Oct 30 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 11 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 101 | 93 | 87 | 82 | 77 | 72 | 66 | 59 | 48 |
| 32°F | 138 | 130 | 124 | 118 | 113 | 108 | 101 | 95 | 85 |
| 28°F | 174 | 166 | 159 | 154 | 149 | 144 | 138 | 131 | 118 |
| 24°F | 212 | 202 | 195 | 189 | 184 | 178 | 172 | 164 | 153 |
| 20°F | 255 | 244 | 237 | 231 | 224 | 218 | 210 | 203 | 192 |
| 16°F | 305 | 292 | 284 | 276 | 269 | 264 | 257 | 249 | 237 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,608
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 340
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,436
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,230
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,240
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,438
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 800
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 932 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 755 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 685 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 518 | 0 | 57 |
| May | 291 | 9 | 211 |
| June | 115 | 51 | 388 |
| July | 19 | 150 | 597 |
| August | 29 | 102 | 538 |
| September | 140 | 27 | 342 |
| October | 439 | 1 | 94 |
| November | 732 | 0 | 4 |
| December | 955 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12 km from Fall River Mills. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00043824 (Hat Creek). Public domain.