El Rio Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Oxnard WFO. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
A freeze (32°F or colder) happens in only 6 percent of years at Oxnard WFO, so there is no typical freeze season.
- Median at 36°F
- last January 20, first December 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 4 | Feb 22 | Feb 12 | Feb 1 | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Jan 3 | Dec 28 | Dec 15 |
| 32°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 28°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Dec 1 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 10 | Jan 20 | Feb 8 |
| 32°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 28°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 24°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 365 | 365 | 363 | 356 | 347 | 338 | 329 | 314 | 297 |
| 32°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 72% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 6% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 0% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,455
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 569
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,239
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,414
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,600
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,898
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,510
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 252 | 13 | 230 |
| February | 225 | 11 | 208 |
| March | 217 | 10 | 258 |
| April | 164 | 15 | 302 |
| May | 101 | 12 | 377 |
| June | 25 | 42 | 467 |
| July | 2 | 120 | 583 |
| August | 2 | 130 | 592 |
| September | 7 | 108 | 551 |
| October | 43 | 77 | 499 |
| November | 152 | 26 | 324 |
| December | 265 | 7 | 211 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 4.1 km from El Rio. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00046572 (Oxnard WFO). Public domain.