Dorris Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Keno. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 5 and the first fall freeze around September 20, a growing season of about 107 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 21, first September 8
- Median at 32°F
- last June 5, first September 20
- Median at 28°F
- last May 14, first October 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jul 8 | Jul 1 | Jun 26 | Jun 23 | Jun 21 | Jun 18 | Jun 15 | Jun 10 | Jun 5 |
| 32°F | Jun 22 | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 24 | May 16 |
| 28°F | Jun 7 | May 30 | May 23 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 29 |
| 24°F | May 14 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
| 20°F | Apr 23 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 12 |
| 16°F | Apr 4 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 19 | Feb 11 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 24 | Aug 30 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 |
| 32°F | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 |
| 28°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 |
| 24°F | Oct 3 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 8 |
| 20°F | Oct 17 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 98 | 91 | 86 | 82 | 78 | 74 | 69 | 63 | 52 |
| 32°F | 129 | 121 | 116 | 111 | 107 | 102 | 98 | 92 | 84 |
| 28°F | 167 | 157 | 153 | 147 | 142 | 136 | 130 | 123 | 114 |
| 24°F | 200 | 193 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 168 | 162 | 152 |
| 20°F | 244 | 233 | 225 | 219 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 196 | 187 |
| 16°F | 290 | 278 | 269 | 262 | 255 | 247 | 240 | 232 | 223 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,631
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 285
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,821
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,759
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,912
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,229
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 680
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,053 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 855 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 803 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 633 | 0 | 22 |
| May | 392 | 3 | 135 |
| June | 192 | 40 | 314 |
| July | 35 | 137 | 567 |
| August | 30 | 86 | 521 |
| September | 189 | 19 | 293 |
| October | 546 | 1 | 57 |
| November | 835 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,069 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 14.2 km from Dorris. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00354403 (Keno). Public domain.