Crestline Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lake Arrowhead. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around November 2, a growing season of about 176 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 27, first October 18
- Median at 32°F
- last May 5, first November 2
- Median at 28°F
- last April 11, first November 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 10 | Jun 4 | Jun 2 | May 31 | May 27 | May 23 | May 18 | May 12 | May 3 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 25 | May 18 | May 11 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 9 |
| 28°F | May 12 | May 1 | Apr 24 | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 14 |
| 24°F | Apr 10 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 10 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 11 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 | Jan 13 | Dec 31 |
| 16°F | Feb 28 | Feb 12 | Feb 1 | Jan 21 | Jan 12 | Jan 6 | Jan 1 | Dec 25 | Dec 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 19 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
| 28°F | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 |
| 24°F | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 9 | Jan 25 |
| 16°F | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 29 | Feb 13 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 170 | 162 | 156 | 151 | 145 | 139 | 134 | 127 | 117 |
| 32°F | 206 | 196 | 189 | 182 | 176 | 170 | 164 | 157 | 148 |
| 28°F | 249 | 239 | 230 | 222 | 215 | 207 | 200 | 191 | 180 |
| 24°F | 297 | 283 | 274 | 266 | 258 | 251 | 244 | 236 | 227 |
| 20°F | 353 | 341 | 332 | 321 | 310 | 301 | 290 | 278 | 265 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 355 | 348 | 337 | 319 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 95% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 54% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,433
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 401
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,626
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,389
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,367
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,540
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 890
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 882 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 774 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 719 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 509 | 0 | 58 |
| May | 350 | 6 | 171 |
| June | 119 | 51 | 388 |
| July | 18 | 145 | 592 |
| August | 15 | 153 | 603 |
| September | 103 | 44 | 394 |
| October | 376 | 1 | 138 |
| November | 671 | 0 | 13 |
| December | 897 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9 km from Crestline. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00044671 (Lake Arrowhead). Public domain.