Corcoran Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Corcoran Irrig Dist. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 15 and the first fall freeze around November 27, a growing season of about 285 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 20, first November 12
- Median at 32°F
- last February 15, first November 27
- Median at 28°F
- last January 16, first December 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Feb 28 | Feb 19 |
| 32°F | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 17 |
| 28°F | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 23 | Jan 16 | Jan 8 | Jan 1 | Dec 27 | Dec 18 |
| 24°F | Jan 22 | Jan 12 | Jan 5 | Jan 1 | Dec 30 | Dec 25 | Dec 21 | Dec 15 | Dec 9 |
| 20°F | Jan 18 | Jan 7 | Dec 31 | Dec 30 | Dec 27 | Dec 22 | Dec 19 | Dec 14 | Dec 10 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
| 32°F | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 |
| 28°F | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 | Dec 28 | Jan 5 |
| 24°F | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 |
| 20°F | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Dec 30 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 266 | 257 | 250 | 244 | 237 | 232 | 224 | 217 | 208 |
| 32°F | 320 | 308 | 299 | 293 | 285 | 279 | 272 | 264 | 254 |
| 28°F | 362 | 349 | 341 | 335 | 330 | 324 | 318 | 308 | 297 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 350 | 344 | 336 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 93% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 49% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 15% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,383
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,924
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,680
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,943
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,369
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,008
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,867
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 567 | 0 | 27 |
| February | 382 | 0 | 78 |
| March | 267 | 5 | 213 |
| April | 136 | 39 | 354 |
| May | 34 | 169 | 600 |
| June | 3 | 342 | 789 |
| July | 0 | 505 | 970 |
| August | 0 | 465 | 930 |
| September | 3 | 313 | 761 |
| October | 70 | 85 | 481 |
| November | 341 | 2 | 142 |
| December | 581 | 0 | 25 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2 km from Corcoran. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00042012 (Corcoran Irrig Dist). Public domain.