Clay Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lodi. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 9 and the first fall freeze around December 5, a growing season of about 301 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 11, first November 19
- Median at 32°F
- last February 9, first December 5
- Median at 28°F
- last January 12, first December 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 20 | Apr 5 | Mar 26 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 9 |
| 32°F | Mar 7 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 2 | Jan 26 | Jan 15 | Jan 2 |
| 28°F | Feb 18 | Feb 6 | Jan 29 | Jan 19 | Jan 12 | Jan 5 | Dec 31 | Dec 26 | Dec 12 |
| 24°F | Feb 6 | Jan 25 | Jan 16 | Jan 9 | Jan 3 | Dec 31 | Dec 29 | Dec 24 | Dec 13 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 32°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 | Jan 3 |
| 28°F | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 14 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 6 | Jan 24 |
| 24°F | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 11 | Jan 17 | Jan 31 |
| 20°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 285 | 272 | 265 | 258 | 251 | 244 | 237 | 228 | 211 |
| 32°F | 339 | 327 | 317 | 309 | 301 | 294 | 286 | 277 | 264 |
| 28°F | 365 | 365 | 364 | 356 | 348 | 340 | 333 | 322 | 308 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 363 | 351 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 73% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 23% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 1% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 0% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,283
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,298
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 8,148
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,374
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,747
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,351
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,207
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 522 | 0 | 36 |
| February | 360 | 0 | 87 |
| March | 259 | 3 | 215 |
| April | 153 | 23 | 320 |
| May | 52 | 108 | 521 |
| June | 5 | 230 | 675 |
| July | 0 | 333 | 798 |
| August | 0 | 312 | 777 |
| September | 3 | 224 | 671 |
| October | 69 | 64 | 460 |
| November | 321 | 1 | 152 |
| December | 538 | 0 | 34 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 27.9 km from Clay. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00045032 (Lodi). Public domain.